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Polymarket wallet 0xc102ec74476794ec5ab0aa593904414b6fff3ba5 · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026 · also shown as Tired-Motor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,301 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $247 | −$26 −9.5% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 270 | 41¢ → 77¢ | $208 | +$97 +88% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 133 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $45 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 67d | Yes | 131 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $14 | −$3 −19% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,709 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,866 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$151 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 968 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes35¢ | $47 |
| 3d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SellYes15¢ | $22 |
| 3d | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BuyYes13¢ | $17 |
| 3d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SellYes15¢ | $41 |
| 37d | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes41¢ | $113 |
| 37d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SellYes16¢ | $112 |
| 37d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BuyYes3¢ | $157 |
| 89d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes21¢ | $509 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | BuyYes36¢ | $16 |
| 246d | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $30 |
| 246d | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $70 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.