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Polymarket wallet 0xc19b868ebb78c6539cd108b3d39c097bd9584df5 · on Polymarket since Jul 18, 2026 · also shown as Afraid-Root-Field
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 105 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 101 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 86 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92d | Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | BuyNo5¢ | $6 |
| 92d | Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)? | BuyNo5¢ | $4 |
| 92d | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BuyNo2¢ | $3 |
| 96d | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyNo12¢ | $12 |
| 97d | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo8¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.