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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodri | 100% | +95 pts | +99 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kylian Mbappé | 0% | −2 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lamine Yamal | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harry Kane | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Olise | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | −91 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vinícius Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rayan Cherki | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jude Bellingham | 0% | 0 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedri | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitinha | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Florian Wirtz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Neymar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bukayo Saka | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Declan Rice | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96d |  CoolCroc | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $1,118 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | PourceauRabbin | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $3,758 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | neutralwave23 | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $1,556 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | ninemmmm | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | ubergoy4 fills | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $5,564 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | Bossy-Downforce-Nourishment | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $2,519 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $21,970 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $12,287 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | puiemsd | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $5,533 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | Occasional-Wound-Sprout | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $1,115 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | GTG791 | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $4,221 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | Dreamwire | Kylian Mbappé | SellNo>99¢ | $2,442 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | 0x3830…d2d5 | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 96d |  BublaDaGoat | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $1,702 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | pxulse | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $1,378 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | Nobu007 | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $2,711 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | Mixed-Detainee | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $2,574 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | 0x4a11…9daa | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $1,924 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | KawaiKGIRL | Rodri | SellYes>99¢ | $3,174 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 96d |  goonmaster24 | Kylian Mbappé | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,722 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | Wilted-Handrail | Kylian Mbappé | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | aHjCz | Kylian Mbappé | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 96d |  Seutervoinen | Lionel Messi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,537 | +$26 +1.0% | 4 |
| 96d | Dreamwire | Kylian Mbappé | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 96d | Meek-Spaghetti | Lionel Messi | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | −$48 −2.9% | — |
| 96d | Urwelcom | Rodri | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | 0xbf2342fds234423d4 fills | Rodri | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,998 | +$165 +2.1% | 5 |
| 96d | Yawning-Chicken | Lionel Messi | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | +$156 +5.3% | 6 |
| 96d | Gaditima | Lionel Messi | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$99 +5.3% | 6 |
| 96d | happynationbr | Lionel Messi | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,447 | +$476 +8.7% | 7 |
| 96d | Ermelo2 fills | Rodri | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,871 | +$446 +16% | 8 |
| 96d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Rodri | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $3,241 | +$8,330 +257% | 14 |
| 96d | Yawning-Chicken | Lionel Messi | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,428 | −$1,428 −100% | 14 |
| 96d | Ermelo | Lionel Messi | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $2,305 | +$2,305 +100% | — |
| 96d | Gaditima8 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $13,059 | −$13,059 −100% | 5 |
| 96d | Tianhe | Lionel Messi | SellYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,579 | +$1,579 +100% | — |
| 96d |  icanseeitall | Lionel Messi | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | +$1,346 +100% | — |
| 96d | pizdi.bolyu | Lionel Messi | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | −$2,002 −100% | 11 |
| 96d | Substantial-Service | Rodri | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $33,862 | −$33,862 −100% | 8 |
| 96d | awaiting-lifechange | Harry Kane | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,756 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | suntori9 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $132,869 | −$133K −100% | 5 |
| 96d | sdhyky3 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $7,130 | −$7,130 −100% | 5 |
| 96d |  Hyperlong3 fills | Rodri | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $11,227 | −$11,227 −100% | 5 |
| 96d |  Nik- | Harry Kane | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | BLAHBLAHBLAH-298 | Lionel Messi | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $5,323 | −$5,323 −100% | 5 |
| 96d | Yawning-Chicken | Rodri | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $2,968 | −$2,968 −100% | 5 |
| 96d | JayM10 | Lionel Messi | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 6 |
| 96d | Polyplayer14 | Lionel Messi | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $4,197 | −$4,197 −100% | 6 |
| 96d |  whot | Lionel Messi | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,149 | −$1,149 −100% | 7 |
| 96d | Nik-3 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $12,302 | −$12,302 −100% | 6 |
| 96d | X2024 | Rodri | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | −$1,346 −100% | 5 |
| 96d | tenet-321 | Kylian Mbappé | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$59 +5.5% | 6 |
| 96d | dsr89 | Jude Bellingham | SellNo>99¢ | $1,253 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | VictorWWW | Lionel Messi | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $4,950 | −$4,950 −100% | 5 |
| 96d | Far-Off-Fang | Lionel Messi | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $1,594 | −$1,594 −100% | 6 |
| 96d | Obvious-Pound | Lionel Messi | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,504 | −$1,504 −100% | 6 |
| 96d | Xiuxiu99 | Lionel Messi | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 96d | guillealarmino | Lionel Messi | SellYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,885 | +$1,885 +100% | — |
| 96d | 0xafEe2 | Kylian Mbappé | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,146 | +$76 +3.5% | 5 |
| 96d |  crypto-basenji | Lionel Messi | SellYes92¢ → 0¢ | $4,797 | +$4,797 +100% | — |
firebloffanboy180,900 sharesThis market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Rodri means the market gives it about 100%.