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Polymarket wallet 0xc213cde579252b0994fe83fb742da9d9d4a41388 · on Polymarket since Apr 19, 2026 · also shown as Qualified-Arena
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 38,828 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $35,916 | +$5,916 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 17,422 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $16,115 | +$2,526 +19% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 69d | No | 11,589 | 38¢ → 97¢ | $11,236 | +$6,836 +155% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,408 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $1,176 | +$176 +18% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 122 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $118 | +$18 +18% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d | Yes | 143 | 70¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$96 −96% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,591 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyNo78¢ | $13,709 |
| 167d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes78¢ | $8,070 |
| 167d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes77¢ | $12,110 |
| 167d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes77¢ | $10,092 |
| 178d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BuyNo39¢ | $1,044 |
| 178d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BuyNo38¢ | $3,553 |
| 186d | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BuyNo82¢ | $100 |
| 186d | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BuyYes70¢ | $100 |
| 186d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyNo71¢ | $1,000 |
| 186d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BuyYes4¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.