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Polymarket wallet 0xc2aaa3b23a70bd0bc18f9837d1d355670ddc79e6 · on Polymarket since Apr 29, 2026 · also shown as Married-Finger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 170 | 65¢ → 91¢ | $155 | +$44 +40% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 167 | 79¢ → 66¢ | $109 | −$23 −17% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$35 +61% |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,304 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $51 | −$59 −53% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 294 | 34¢ → 17¢ | $49 | −$51 −51% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 59 | 64¢ → 80¢ | $47 | +$9 +24% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 682 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $25 | −$50 −67% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 420 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $14 | −$87 −86% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 233 | 30¢ → 6¢ | $14 | −$56 −80% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes19¢ | $98 |
| 152d | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $132 |
| 152d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $57 |
| 166d | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BuyNo77¢ | $146 |
| 166d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BuyNo71¢ | $72 |
| 166d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BuyNo65¢ | $111 |
| 166d | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BuyYes24¢ | $101 |
| 171d | China coup attempt before 2027? | BuyYes8¢ | $111 |
| 171d | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $70 |
| 171d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BuyNo64¢ | $6 |
| 171d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BuyNo64¢ | $32 |
| 177d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes34¢ | $100 |
| 177d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BuyYes11¢ | $75 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.