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Polymarket wallet 0xc4cf16a59929ec0912faa2a8986e11718f7558de · on Polymarket since Nov 13, 2023 · also shown as Gentle-Holiday
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 691d | Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes10¢ | $25 |
| 1057d | Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | BuyYes20¢ | $2 |
| 1057d | Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 1062d | Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 1062d | Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? | BuyNo28¢ | $15 |
| 1066d | Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
| 1066d | OpenAI board out by end of week? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 1066d | OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? | SellYes95¢ | $20 |
| 1068d | Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | BuyNo46¢ | $5 |
| 1068d | Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | BuyNo52¢ | $10 |
| 1070d | Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? | BuyYes15¢ | $5 |
| 1070d | OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? | BuyYes48¢ | $10 |
| 1070d | Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? | SellNo91¢ | $55 |
| 1076d | Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? | BuyNo49¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.