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Polymarket wallet 0xc7538aabd241c16cea9d61d8d7b49e1fdf5f6e14 · on Polymarket since Oct 26, 2025 · also shown as Outlandish-Incentive
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 146 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes3¢ | $21 |
| 216d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SellNo75¢ | $31 |
| 221d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyNo72¢ | $30 |
| 221d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $40 |
| 221d | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 353d | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyNo91¢ | $20 |
| 362d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BuyUp43¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.