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Polymarket wallet 0xc7672cdc460f808e17c92587fd6227aa407c9d34 · on Polymarket since Jan 30, 2026 · also shown as Naughty-Warden
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 237 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 843 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 720 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$238 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 254 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.