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Polymarket wallet 0xc83f6581ee4f3e1b067d07ebc9b3840e99d2d705 · on Polymarket since Dec 15, 2025 · also shown as Immaterial-Theory
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 141 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 727 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 63 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 197 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18? | BuyYes38¢ | $75 |
| 285d | Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11? | SellYes2¢ | $5 |
| 289d | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11? | SellYes>99¢ | $105 |
| 291d | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11? | BuyYes38¢ | $40 |
| 291d | Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11? | BuyYes22¢ | $55 |
| 302d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 10PM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $5 |
| 302d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10PM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $5 |
| 310d | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21? | SellNo80¢ | $78 |
| 310d | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21? | BuyNo41¢ | $40 |
| 311d | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21? | BuyYes49¢ | $45 |
| 313d | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes10¢ | $40 |
| 313d | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BuyNo34¢ | $250 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.