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Polymarket wallet 0xca13a53a8c336ee14daffb138dc9c6d03c665ce3 · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2026 · also shown as Equal-Sprout
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +39% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 226d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 226d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes72¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BuyUp47¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.