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Polymarket wallet 0xcb2bdba5463e854713a85010f805dcd16b3fad7a · on Polymarket since Nov 1, 2025 · also shown as Direct-Certainty
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 105 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $103 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 440 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$290 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 381 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$292 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 580 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$319 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 172 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.