NoTeacher

Polymarket wallet 0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d · on Polymarket since Apr 24, 2026 · also shown as Far-Plan

Open on Polymarket ↗

Don't follow me, I'm lost.

Positions now worth: $3.8K
All-time profit: +$2.43K
Volume traded: $252K
All-time rank: #45,087
Markets traded: 521
Recent hit rate: 84%42 of last 50 closed

Open positions

39 markets · $3.8K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d	No	533	82¢ → 78¢	$415	−$21 −4.7%
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Ends in 10d	Yes	524	68¢ → 71¢	$370	+$14 +3.8%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	321	86¢ → 94¢	$301	+$25 +9.3%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	559	55¢ → 47¢	$260	−$46 −15%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	336	74¢ → 66¢	$222	−$27 −11%
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	362	62¢ → 59¢	$212	−$14 −6.2%
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	196	89¢ → 93¢	$183	+$7 +4.2%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d	No	275	57¢ → 62¢	$170	+$13 +8.1%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	159	84¢ → 83¢	$132	−$2 −1.2%
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	363	34¢ → 35¢	$127	+$3 +2.2%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?Ends in 250d	No	130	90¢ → 91¢	$118	+$1 +0.7%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d	Yes	389	29¢ → 27¢	$103	−$10 −8.6%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	177	60¢ → 56¢	$99	−$8 −7.3%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	108	64¢ → 84¢	$90	+$21 +30%
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Ends in 10d	No	83	95¢ → 99¢	$82	+$3 +3.7%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	120	63¢ → 65¢	$77	+$2 +2.4%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d	No	96	82¢ → 78¢	$75	−$4 −4.9%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	106	83¢ → 67¢	$70	−$17 −20%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d	Yes	367	20¢ → 17¢	$63	−$9 −12%
Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Ends in 10d	No	84	72¢ → 72¢	$60	$0 0.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d	No	60	88¢ → 99¢	$59	+$6 +12%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	No	206	24¢ → 28¢	$58	+$9 +18%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 434d	No	200	23¢ → 28¢	$56	+$10 +21%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	117	41¢ → 45¢	$52	+$4 +8.3%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	60	71¢ → 84¢	$50	+$7 +17%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	64	72¢ → 72¢	$46	−$0 −0.0%
Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d	No	160	63¢ → 28¢	$45	−$56 −56%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	150	25¢ → 25¢	$37	−$0 −0.4%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Ends in 250d	No	65	65¢ → 55¢	$36	−$7 −15%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Ends in 250d	Yes	40	53¢ → 85¢	$34	+$13 +61%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	39	84¢ → 51¢	$20	−$13 −40%
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?Ends in 23d	No	152	11¢ → 12¢	$18	+$2 +12%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d	No	20	76¢ → 84¢	$17	+$2 +9.9%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	64	39¢ → 26¢	$16	−$9 −35%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	527	1¢ → 3¢	$16	+$9 +133%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	Yes	18	44¢ → 46¢	$8	+$0 +4.5%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	5	81¢ → 82¢	$4	+$0 +1.2%
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	228	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$2 −60%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 250d	No	27	2¢ → 2¢	$1	+$0 +60%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1h	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyNo72¢	$46
2h	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyNo72¢	$14
2h	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?	BuyNo11¢	$5
2h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo100¢	$10
2h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo100¢	$10
2h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo100¢	$30
2h	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo98¢	$28
2h	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	SellNo79¢	$9
2h	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?	BuyNo11¢	$11
2h	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	SellNo37¢	$22
3h	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	BuyNo28¢	$0
3h	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	BuyNo26¢	$13
3h	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes54¢	$98
3h	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	SellNo85¢	$82
3h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo79¢	$47
3h	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	SellYes71¢	$72
3h	Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?	BuyNo91¢	$127
3h	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	SellNo87¢	$126
3h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	BuyNo26¢	$13
4h	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$12
4h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$26
5h	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyYes72¢	$7
5h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$3
5h	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyYes72¢	$7
5h	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$210
5h	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	SellNo59¢	$189
5h	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$4
5h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	SellNo94¢	$43
5h	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyYes71¢	$36
5h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	SellNo43¢	$36
5h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo68¢	$11
5h	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyYes72¢	$26
5h	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyNo36¢	$2
6h	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes56¢	$118
6h	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes55¢	$90
6h	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	BuyNo23¢	$36
7h	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes87¢	$152
7h	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes85¢	$124
7h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	SellNo38¢	$20
7h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	SellNo39¢	$27
7h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	BuyNo97¢	$44
7h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	SellNo6¢	$10
8h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	BuyNo19¢	$19
8h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	SellNo>99¢	$189
8h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	BuyNo24¢	$17
8h	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	BuyNo24¢	$24
9h	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo97¢	$23
9h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$5
9h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	BuyNo73¢	$9
10h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	BuyNo2¢	$0
10h	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	BuyYes25¢	$20
12h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	SellNo83¢	$225
13h	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	BuyNo76¢	$9
13h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	SellNo73¢	$101
13h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	BuyNo78¢	$16
13h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	BuyNo78¢	$117
13h	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	BuyYes23¢	$12
13h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyNo96¢	$19
13h	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$133
13h	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	BuyNo58¢	$186

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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