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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 13% | +4 pts | +1 pts | 10¢ · 15¢ (5¢) | $345 | in 8d |
| December 31 | 33% | −1 pts | −16 pts | 31¢ · 35¢ (4¢) | $5 | in 69d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying meeting between Anthropic and the Holy See takes place between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying participants are as follows: - Anthropic: a co-founder, a C-suite executive, or a representative officially designated by Anthropic. - Vatican: the Pope, a head or senior official of a Holy See institution, or a representative officially designated by the Holy See. A qualifying meeting must involve direct, substantive discussion between at least one qualifying representative of Anthropic and at least one qualifying representative of the Holy See. A bilateral meeting or a joint working session within a larger event will qualify. Mere attendance at the same event, an incidental greeting, a photo opportunity, or separate speeches will not qualify. The meeting must take place in person. Video calls, phone calls, and other virtual meetings will not qualify. The meeting must take place after this market's creation. Newly reported details of a meeting that took place before this market's creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from Anthropic or the Holy See; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 13%.