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Polymarket wallet 0xcb712838492d467257d159a88dac554bf8f48dfe · on Polymarket since Aug 10, 2026 · also shown as Failing-Hypothermia
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,358 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $1,337 | +$240 +22% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 507 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $413 | +$23 +5.8% |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 210 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $205 | +$13 +6.9% |
| US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 178 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $171 | +$22 +15% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 55d | Yes | 180 | 1¢ → 6¢ | $11 | +$8 +354% |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 23 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.