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Polymarket wallet 0xcd98d97df9c4650c3ca702cd112a2e6606a90123 · on Polymarket since Jan 17, 2026 · also shown as Understated-Roof
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4,000 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,760 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 72 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BuyNo98¢ | $65 |
| 238d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo99¢ | $56 |
| 238d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo99¢ | $15 |
| 250d | US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | BuyNo100¢ | $71 |
| 261d | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $71 |
| 269d | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $35 |
| 271d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp44¢ | $1,760 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.