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Polymarket wallet 0xce07cf34a885106e003fac78fa18d2e52100c2bc · on Polymarket since Mar 17, 2026 · also shown as Equal-Thorn
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +113% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3 | 49¢ → 43¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Zhang Mingyang | 10 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Milwaukee Brewers | 9 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Junior Tafa | 8 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BuyYes47¢ | $2 |
| 31d | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BuyYes49¢ | $2 |
| 89d | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | BuyMilwaukee Brewers44¢ | $4 |
| 141d | UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BuyJunior Tafa24¢ | $2 |
| 149d | UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BuyZhang Mingyang70¢ | $7 |
| 156d | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BuyCanadiens58¢ | $6 |
| 213d | Spread: Lakers (-11.5) | BuyPacers56¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.