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Polymarket wallet 0xce86d27abf7170d337e968e8bbd550c45599439d · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2021 · also shown as Far-Flung-Military
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$223 −100% |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 796 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,301 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$536 −100% |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes39¢ | $309 |
| 720d | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34 | BuyYes5¢ | $25 |
| 720d | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64 | BuyYes10¢ | $100 |
| 720d | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104 | BuyYes13¢ | $33 |
| 720d | Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election? | BuyYes17¢ | $85 |
| 720d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes74¢ | $223 |
| 720d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes45¢ | $227 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.