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Polymarket wallet 0xd0feac4ae5d76668417025f3aa377e617496037c · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2024 · also shown as Vacant-Orchestra
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeEnds in 69d | No | 31 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $31 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120d | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe | BuyNo96¢ | $30 |
| 431d | Bengals vs. Commanders | BuyBengals65¢ | $2 |
| 717d | Israel military strike against Iran in November? | BuyNo58¢ | $2 |
| 717d | Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan? | BuyNo75¢ | $2 |
| 730d | Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | SellYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 730d | 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $0 |
| 730d | Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 730d | Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024? | BuyYes29¢ | $2 |
| 730d | Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | BuyYes<1¢ | $11 |
| 730d | Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | BuyNo82¢ | $1 |
| 730d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo64¢ | $110 |
| 730d | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024? | BuyYes6¢ | $0 |
| 730d | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? | BuyNo68¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.