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Polymarket wallet 0xd15688049a0539a0548969954ed05e9d5f854f6b · on Polymarket since Nov 27, 2025 · also shown as Grizzled-Scorpion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 330 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$165 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 94 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 324d | Solana Up or Down - December 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $48 |
| 325d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ | $3 |
| 325d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | SellYes12¢ | $3 |
| 325d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $149 |
| 326d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $165 |
| 326d | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 326d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.