Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0xd1f843b136854c451b6cda656004dfd09ee081fa · on Polymarket since Mar 19, 2026 · also shown as Familiar-Trapdoor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +133% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 3 | 41¢ → 71¢ | $2 | +$1 +75% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 39¢ → 38¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 760 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $2 |
| 30d | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BuyNo39¢ | $1 |
| 74d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo50¢ | $3 |
| 94d | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes41¢ | $1 |
| 106d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes39¢ | $1 |
| 135d | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BuyYes16¢ | $2 |
| 142d | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyNo70¢ | $4 |
| 150d | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyYes43¢ | $2 |
| 156d | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BuyNo98¢ | $2 |
| 163d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo55¢ | $3 |
| 184d | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 192d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BuyNo98¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.