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Polymarket wallet 0xd28624ec0912bc97baea0697122d1c53c24da29d · on Polymarket since Jul 9, 2025 · also shown as Lumpy-Wire
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 326 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,550 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$611 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 269d | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo11¢ | $611 |
| 340d | Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | SellYes7¢ | $1,009 |
| 346d | Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $1,567 |
| 470d | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes31¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.