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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | — | −1 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58d | pakukudolphi | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,844 | +$147 +8.0% | 4 |
| 88d |  ineedmassage | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 95¢ | $1,736 | +$183 +11% | 4 |
| 197d | algodesk | December 31, 2026 | SellNo83¢ → 95¢ | $1,153 | −$167 −14% | — |
| 198d | algodesk | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo84¢ → 95¢ | $1,167 | +$153 +13% | 4 |
| 221d | Shure | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $1,631 | +$282 +17% | 4 |
| 221d | carbontax | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $1,114 | +$192 +17% | 4 |
| 261d | damujinxian | December 31, 2026 | SellNo79¢ → 95¢ | $2,607 | −$528 −20% | — |
| 261d | mounsde | December 31, 2026 | SellNo79¢ → 95¢ | $2,647 | −$536 −20% | — |
| 261d | pufabanke | December 31, 2026 | SellNo79¢ → 95¢ | $2,410 | −$488 −20% | — |
| 262d | pufabanke | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 95¢ | $2,379 | +$518 +22% | 4 |
| 262d | damujinxian | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 95¢ | $2,574 | +$561 +22% | 4 |
| 262d | cgeusejh | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 95¢ | $2,769 | +$603 +22% | 4 |
| 262d | mounsde | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 95¢ | $2,613 | +$569 +22% | 4 |
| 271d | redpi | December 31, 2026 | SellNo78¢ → 95¢ | $3,010 | −$656 −22% | — |
| 271d | jeansle | December 31, 2026 | SellNo79¢ → 95¢ | $2,297 | −$465 −20% | — |
| 274d | teacheer | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $2,550 | +$478 +19% | 4 |
| 274d | fivexi | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $2,478 | +$465 +19% | 4 |
| 274d | redpi | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $3,087 | +$579 +19% | 4 |
| 274d | jeansle | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $2,326 | +$436 +19% | 4 |
| 290d |  MajidJavadi | Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,966 | +$812 +20% | 4 |
| 290d |  KokoVeLeon12 fills | Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $7,455 | +$1,799 +24% | 4 |
| 291d | chifanla1 | December 31, 2026 | SellYes19¢ → 5¢ | $1,759 | +$1,296 +74% | — |
| 291d | sanlun | December 31, 2026 | SellNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,867 | −$495 −17% | — |
| 291d | jiaqiao | December 31, 2026 | SellNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,475 | −$428 −17% | — |
| 291d | manman1 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,591 | −$448 −17% | — |
| 292d | weixin | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,375 | +$410 +17% | 4 |
| 292d | sangshen1 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,620 | +$453 +17% | 4 |
| 292d | tuerqi | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,633 | +$455 +17% | 4 |
| 292d | ganzhezhi | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,754 | +$476 +17% | 4 |
| 292d | beijixia | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $2,113 | +$365 +17% | 4 |
| 292d | bingqilin | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $2,460 | +$461 +19% | 4 |
| 292d | sanlun | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $2,831 | +$531 +19% | 4 |
| 292d | jiaqiao | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $2,444 | +$458 +19% | 4 |
| 292d | manman1 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 95¢ | $2,559 | +$480 +19% | 4 |
| 297d | denizz2 fills | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 301d |  0xnoobo2 fills | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,763 | +$15 +0.4% | 4 |
| 301d | shapaozi | Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | −$736 −25% | — |
| 303d | LaurenMoran8369 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$224 +22% | 5 |
| 304d |  spectral-mango-protocol | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,927 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 312d |  HashxCapital | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | −$21 −1.7% | — |
| 334d |  DonationsReceiver | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$32 −3.1% | — |
| 335d | TheMayor | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,077 | −$323 −4.6% | — |
| 336d |  scottilicious2 fills | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,504 | −$333 −2.1% | — |
| 346d |  pascaltiemann | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$24 −2.4% | — |
| 347d | scottilicious2 fills | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $15,692 | +$988 +6.3% | 4 |
| 348d | ineedmassage | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | −$76 −4.9% | — |
| 350d | ineedmassage | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$156 +12% | 4 |
| 351d | HashxCapital | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$33 +2.7% | 4 |
| 382d | burrito3382 fills | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $55,800 | +$3,562 +6.4% | 4 |
| 409d |  WordleAddict | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,758 | +$368 +6.4% | 4 |
| 409d |  betwick | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 4 |
| 423d | Holdfast0811 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$252 −19% | — |
| 464d | Marks10002 fills | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,813 | −$998 −35% | — |
| 465d | Abrdjd | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 465d | Holdfast0811 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$253 +20% | 4 |
| 465d |  CMCAM | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,194 | +$1,053 +25% | 4 |
| 467d |  FTX2.0 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $3,332 | −$2,622 −79% | — |
| 472d |  MEPP | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | −$649 −52% | — |
| 472d | Marks1000 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,312 +52% | 4 |
| 475d | Saltyballs | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,604 | +$1,604 +100% | — |
meagainsttheworld667 shares
TimeTraveler403 sharesineedmassage1,370 sharesMajidJavadi979 shares
FastPaws690 shares
Jet9400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 5%.