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Polymarket wallet 0xd29d571f20a59c5d0b5e36579b71da6947550537 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Damp-Blade
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 276d | Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $5 |
| 276d | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $20 |
| 278d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 280d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes26¢ | $7 |
| 280d | Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $8 |
| 280d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $5 |
| 280d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | SellNo72¢ | $50 |
| 281d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 281d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | BuyNo22¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.