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Polymarket wallet 0xd450bd82e1ace53ec03dc72e377b57a138e027cf · on Polymarket since Jun 26, 2025 · also shown as Pitiful-Porch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,435 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 982 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,170 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 226d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $18 |
| 228d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $22 |
| 230d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes11¢ | $44 |
| 236d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $209 |
| 265d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes19¢ | $40 |
| 432d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes22¢ | $198 |
| 435d | Israel strikes Iran before September? | BuyYes8¢ | $31 |
| 436d | Israel strikes Iran before September? | BuyYes10¢ | $77 |
| 436d | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $133 |
| 452d | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BuyYes12¢ | $18 |
| 455d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes26¢ | $517 |
| 466d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes26¢ | $448 |
| 480d | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? | BuyYes21¢ | $251 |
| 484d | Will the Iranian regime fall before August? | BuyYes4¢ | $35 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.