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Polymarket wallet 0xd4700b8d63c9216ba6a3ed59061a188621303375 · on Polymarket since Jul 3, 2026 · also shown as Decisive-Pathogenesis
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$3 +69% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 96d | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 96d | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 96d | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 96d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes59¢ | $5 |
| 111d | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | SellYes>99¢ | $272 |
| 112d | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BuyYes11¢ | $31 |
| 112d | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? | BuyYes4¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.