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Polymarket wallet 0xd49c6362ec77bc48b6ec67a14bcc4a92b560f1de · on Polymarket since Feb 24, 2026 · also shown as Quarterly-Clave
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 600 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$332 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 780 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 440 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.