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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | olabandola | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $10,186 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 239d | xyzzyx0101 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,227 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 239d | sdhyky2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown90¢ → 100¢ | $7,473 | −$836 −11% | — |
| 239d |  CoinTrick | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 239d |  largeleeks8882 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $3,411 | +$176 +5.2% | 5 |
| 239d | olabandola | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $7,739 | +$322 +4.2% | 5 |
| 239d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$435 +8.7% | 6 |
| 239d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,764 | +$85 +3.1% | 5 |
| 239d |  Hakunamatatatata | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown70¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$477 −43% | — |
| 239d |  NotMasterFan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | +$967 +37% | 11 |
| 239d | sdhyky3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $5,114 | +$3,513 +69% | 12 |
| 239d | harrypotterr | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyUp96¢ → 0¢ | $1,266 | −$1,266 −100% | 5 |
| 239d |  CertifiedCRY | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyUp85¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 8 |
| 239d | nbab | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown58¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$798 −72% | — |
| 240d |  Alien.btc | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown55¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | −$1,392 −83% | — |
| 240d | Alien.btc | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown38¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$2,243 +164% | 13 |
BlackswanHunter465 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 26 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 26 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.