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Polymarket wallet 0xd535aa28226aaf3598f8430d94870fe3abf89fd6 · on Polymarket since Feb 16, 2026 · also shown as Watery-Incompetence
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +33% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125d | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BuyNo24¢ | $1 |
| 125d | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BuyNo53¢ | $1 |
| 141d | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BuyYes74¢ | $1 |
| 141d | Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30? | BuyYes75¢ | $1 |
| 150d | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.