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Polymarket wallet 0xd541dd3e51833aaf3adc638efffb854bd130a1fe · on Polymarket since Aug 25, 2024 · also shown as Responsible-Incompetence
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 678d | Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | BuyNo65¢ | $1 |
| 685d | Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland? | BuyNo99¢ | $5 |
| 741d | Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | BuyYes51¢ | $3 |
| 741d | Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | BuyNo51¢ | $3 |
| 748d | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in October? | BuyYes57¢ | $2 |
| 748d | Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 755d | Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 778d | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ | $5 |
| 778d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo53¢ | $1 |
| 787d | Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 790d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes75¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.