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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d |  LBZcapital3 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,643 | −$379 −3.0% | — |
| 661d |  LastChanceSaloon | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,887 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 668d |  Car | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 669d |  Erasmus. | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$24 +1.1% | 4 |
| 670d | ChrisV3 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,211 | +$211 +2.6% | 4 |
| 670d | TheBoyBilly...2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,694 | −$66 −2.4% | — |
| 672d |  SPMontreal | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.1% | 4 |
| 674d | eNakeVets | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$29 +2.2% | 4 |
| 677d | denizz2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,019 | −$166 −2.8% | — |
| 679d | TheBoyBilly... | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,188 | +$168 +2.3% | 4 |
| 679d | donaldz | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$46 −4.0% | — |
| 685d | DonSalazar | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$49 +2.5% | 4 |
| 688d |  Justitia | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,052 | −$85 −4.1% | — |
| 690d | Justitia | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$194 +15% | 4 |
| 690d | denizz2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,595 | +$321 +5.7% | 4 |
| 690d |  ANudeEgg4 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $10,376 | +$2,564 +25% | 4 |
| 717d | dsnuts | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$47 −4.5% | — |
| 722d | lowrisk242 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | +$276 +4.6% | 4 |
| 733d | CoolBetguy2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,144 | +$131 +4.2% | 4 |
| 740d | Gdub3 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,722 | −$554 −7.2% | — |
| 746d | Sjsusgensos | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$55 −5.4% | — |
| 755d |  WatchTheTape | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$79 +5.3% | 4 |
| 776d | LBZcapital3 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $14,492 | +$1,770 +12% | 4 |
| 836d | Gdub | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$89 +6.4% | 4 |
| 895d | hodlor3 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $9,479 | +$1,443 +15% | 4 |
| 927d | ANudeEgg2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $8,201 | −$1,199 −15% | — |
| 930d |  ImJustKen2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $4,101 | −$4,101 −100% | 14 |
| 931d | ImJustKen2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $3,562 | +$3,562 +100% | — |
| 967d |  truthteller | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$640 +19% | 4 |
| 971d |  VibesGreaterRules | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,218 | −$659 −20% | — |
| 974d |  Tenable-Dome2 fills | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $4,157 | +$4,157 +100% | — |
| 996d | 0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736 | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$410 +20% | 4 |
| 998d | Tenable-Dome | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $3,232 | −$3,232 −100% | 11 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency (e.g. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, NIH, etc.) definitively states that the initial COVID-19 virus came from a lab by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.