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Polymarket wallet 0xd54239d67ede2aa2e40a480c0e5974d71257ed15 · on Polymarket since Feb 8, 2026 · also shown as Scaly-Spelling
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 619 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 15, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 327 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 898 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 469 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.