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Polymarket wallet 0xd816393119a297874bff7304b9e222101f5a6c0f · on Polymarket since Jan 3, 2025 · also shown as Ajar-Alarm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 435 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $432 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 200 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 104 | 67¢ → 62¢ | $64 | −$6 −8.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 100 | 91¢ → 61¢ | $61 | −$31 −33% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 445 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$51 −91% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.