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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 61% | +1 pts | −13 pts | 60¢ · 62¢ (2¢) | $15.2K | in 7d |
| Apple | 37% | +1 pts | +11 pts | 36¢ · 38¢ (1¢) | $8.73K | in 7d |
| Alphabet | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5.05K | in 7d |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.4K | in 7d |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Broadcom | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Microsoft | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $3.41K | in 7d |
| Amazon | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| SpaceX | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15h | FUTBALL | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 20h | soccergoat2 fills | NVIDIA | SellYes68¢ → 61¢ | $2,669 | +$267 +10% | — |
| 1d | NVIDIA | BuyYes69¢ → 61¢ | $1,804 | −$224 −12% | 14 | |
| 2d | Hauchn | Apple | BuyYes35¢ → 37¢ | $1,962 | +$107 +5.4% | 24 |
| 3d | suntori | NVIDIA | SellYes91¢ → 61¢ | $2,278 | +$759 +33% | — |
| 3d | Alphabet | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,240 | −$0 −0.0% | 4 | |
| 3d | donthackme | Apple | BuyNo92¢ → 63¢ | $1,386 | −$440 −32% | 7 |
| 3d | donthackme2 fills | Alphabet | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,604 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | WizhardofOddz | NVIDIA | BuyYes89¢ → 61¢ | $1,633 | −$523 −32% | 7 |
| 5d | 111222333 | Alphabet | SellNo>99¢ | $1,396 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 5d | Apple | SellYes19¢ → 37¢ | $2,505 | −$2,239 −89% | — | |
| 5d | alex20011 | Apple | BuyNo83¢ → 63¢ | $1,275 | −$309 −24% | 11 |
| 5d | kaxel78 | Apple | BuyNo84¢ → 63¢ | $1,279 | −$312 −24% | 10 |
| 6d | soccergoat2 fills | NVIDIA | BuyYes80¢ → 61¢ | $3,000 | −$726 −24% | 14 |
| 7d | 0xbd78…f597 | Apple | BuyYes19¢ → 37¢ | $1,000 | +$979 +98% | 13 |
| 7d | 111222333 | Alphabet | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$1 +0.0% | 4 |
| 8d | BlackEay | Alphabet | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 8d | lIN | Alphabet | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,040 | −$2 −0.1% | 4 |
| 8d | chickenchicken | Alphabet | SellNo>99¢ | $1,184 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | chickenchicken | Alphabet | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,185 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 10d | Zenatovar | NVIDIA | SellYes70¢ → 61¢ | $1,601 | +$203 +13% | — |
| 10d | Apple | SellNo92¢ → 63¢ | $1,001 | +$311 +31% | — | |
| 13d | Bland-Review | NVIDIA | BuyYes96¢ → 61¢ | $2,000 | −$734 −37% | 5 |
| 14d | leo-2020 | NVIDIA | BuyYes96¢ → 61¢ | $1,791 | −$655 −37% | 5 |
| 14d | leo-2020 | Apple | BuyNo97¢ → 63¢ | $1,208 | −$421 −35% | 5 |
| 20d | aiwar | NVIDIA | BuyYes96¢ → 61¢ | $1,046 | −$386 −37% | 5 |
| 22d | 0xbbba…d60f | NVIDIA | BuyYes96¢ → 61¢ | $4,303 | −$1,577 −37% | 7 |
| 22d | donthackme | Amazon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 22d | donthackme | Broadcom | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 22d | donthackme | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 22d | donthackme | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 22d | donthackme | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 22d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | NVIDIA | BuyYes95¢ → 61¢ | $1,144 | −$412 −36% | 5 |
| 22d | wwf001 | NVIDIA | BuyYes96¢ → 61¢ | $6,592 | −$2,413 −37% | 7 |
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 61¢ for NVIDIA means the market gives it about 61%.