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Polymarket wallet 0xd92633f05198255ffc8c89546528b98e6686dc51 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Incomparable-Contrail
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,470 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,970 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,679 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,750 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes24¢ | $21 |
| 116d | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 116d | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 133d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BuyYes<1¢ | $15 |
| 133d | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BuyYes83¢ | $10 |
| 134d | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes5¢ | $6 |
| 271d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $20 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.