Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −18 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,617 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 47d | thoodr | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 47d | Joint-Luncheonette | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,555 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 47d | Addarash | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,889 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $11,735 | +$2,208 +19% | 4 | |
| 47d | tphhh | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,523 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 47d | maceman | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,043 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 47d | pagliacci4 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,397 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 47d | FlyingPlaty | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,768 | +$44 +0.2% | 4 |
| 47d | 0xf0b2…b501 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,172 | −$30 −0.4% | — |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,327 | +$54 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 47d | flawfence15 fills | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $243,028 | +$5,357 +2.2% | 4 |
| 47d | pagliacci4 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo100¢ | $5,353 | +$27 +0.5% | 4 |
| 47d | Predictandbreathe | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,974 | −$25 −0.6% | — |
| 47d | WillBeQuant | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,254 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 47d | Randomfool2 fills | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,585 | +$111 +0.6% | 4 |
| 47d | honk75 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo100¢ | $1,236 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 47d | livepo1y | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,835 | +$43 +1.5% | 4 |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$120 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,335 | −$378 −16% | — | |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$624 +30% | 4 | |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $3,205 | −$1,182 −37% | — | |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,877 | −$1,417 −29% | — | |
| 47d | itsafish | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | +$1,019 +100% | — |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,458 | −$1,458 −100% | 6 | |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | +$902 +34% | 4 | |
| 47d | pieped | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$407 −39% | — |
| 47d | pieped2 fills | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$880 +29% | 4 |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,034 | −$3,034 −100% | 12 | |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | +$1,069 +100% | — | |
| 47d | pantomime | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$368 +25% | 4 |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$253 +25% | 4 | |
| 47d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$398 +24% | 4 | |
| 48d | spacexstar | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$170 +15% | 4 |
| 48d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$189 +17% | 4 | |
| 49d | maceman | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$453 +21% | 9 |
| 49d | TillMz02 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,205 | −$583 −26% | — |
| 51d | w534zerg439gj4i3gh8ewhfggt54z | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 10 |
| 52d | w534zerg439gj4i3gh8ewhfggt54z | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,317 | −$1,067 −25% | — |
| 52d | Addarash | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$146 +14% | 5 |
| 53d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | +$419 +22% | 5 | |
| 56d | w534zerg439gj4i3gh8ewhfggt54z | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$984 +22% | 4 |
| 57d | annacallsit | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,818 | +$1,818 +100% | — |
| 59d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,543 | +$1,543 +100% | — | |
| 59d | Sven686 fills | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $9,631 | −$9,631 −100% | 11 |
| 59d | Railcool | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,729 | +$2,729 +100% | — |
| 63d | WhateverXYZ | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 4 |
| 63d | Sven68 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $2,787 | +$2,787 +100% | — |
| 63d | KiernanMeister | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$549 +47% | 4 |
| 64d | waleyyyy2 fills | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,848 | −$1,652 −43% | — |
| 64d | supersmard2 fills | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,374 | +$2,374 +100% | — |
| 64d | waleyyyy2 fills | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,487 | +$1,427 +41% | 4 |
| 64d | KiernanMeister | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | −$900 −43% | — |
| 68d | annacallsit | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,023 | −$1,023 −100% | 4 |
| 69d | Thrifty-Perspective | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,389 | +$1,318 +39% | 4 |
| 69d | goassmaggus | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | −$1,078 −100% | 4 |
| 73d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $3,512 | +$3,512 +100% | — | |
| 74d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | −$812 −47% | — | |
| 85d | TypeShi | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$683 −64% | — |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.