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Polymarket wallet 0xda159241a41c5c4c60b863feaeabbb8f47b27c35 · on Polymarket since Dec 31, 2024 · also shown as Tempting-Damage
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 95 | 42¢ → 87¢ | $83 | +$43 +107% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 38 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $36 | +$6 +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 41d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyNo78¢ | $30 |
| 81d | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BuyNo42¢ | $40 |
| 179d | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | BuyNo78¢ | $67 |
| 286d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? | BuyNo78¢ | $52 |
| 372d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyNo70¢ | $37 |
| 660d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo60¢ | $21 |
| 660d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo72¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.