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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 644d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,601 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d | upp | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,312 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d | Ordon2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,544 | +$27 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d |  RememberAmalek | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,497 | +$54 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d |  Dropper3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,472 | +$305 +1.9% | 20 |
| 644d | tf2 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,686 | +$97 +0.4% | 20 |
| 644d |  MotherTheresa33 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $126,495 | +$27,179 +21% | 20 |
| 644d |  Car3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,314 | +$100 +0.9% | 20 |
| 644d |  Erasmus.7 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $51,453 | +$2,779 +5.4% | 20 |
| 644d |  png102412 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $46,204 | +$3,305 +7.2% | 20 |
| 644d |  🍝👹3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,281 | −$281 −1.5% | — |
| 644d | TumTumTree | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,811 | −$35 −0.9% | — |
| 644d | surf17 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $89,210 | +$8,436 +9.5% | 20 |
| 644d |  mr.ozi5 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $9,826 | +$1,674 +17% | 20 |
| 644d | DragonRider-8192 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,858 | −$249 −8.7% | — |
| 644d |  scottilicious7 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $80,441 | +$5,184 +6.4% | 20 |
| 644d | LIOR-458 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$39 −2.5% | — |
| 645d |  Vanquish | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,191 | +$53 +1.0% | 20 |
| 645d | bbv4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $11,569 | −$2,084 −18% | — |
| 645d |  0xDigitalOil | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$20 +1.7% | 20 |
| 645d | DragonRider-819 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$21 +1.5% | 20 |
| 645d |  debased | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | +$37 +1.6% | 20 |
| 645d | Car2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,836 | −$346 −2.5% | — |
| 645d | Noone1 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | −$27 −2.0% | — |
| 645d |  elmcap24 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $43,260 | +$786 +1.8% | 20 |
| 645d |  KimJonEn | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 645d | denizz6 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $40,560 | −$10,272 −25% | — |
| 645d | wideawaketoo | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo8¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 25 |
| 645d | bbv3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,421 | +$833 +15% | 20 |
| 645d | LIOR-458 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$101 +6.7% | 20 |
| 645d |  MEPP15 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $43,059 | +$16,154 +38% | 20 |
| 645d |  Camarad | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | −$96 −7.3% | — |
| 645d | Saltyballs4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $16,536 | −$1,150 −7.0% | — |
| 645d | moTi | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$86 −8.2% | — |
| 645d |  MisTKy34 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $18,785 | −$1,852 −9.9% | — |
| 645d | png10244 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $24,006 | −$6,599 −27% | — |
| 645d | nedsta | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | +$78 +3.4% | 20 |
| 645d | cashy | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | −$111 −5.3% | — |
| 645d | semi | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,380 | +$137 +4.1% | 20 |
| 645d | 🍝👹4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,551 | +$298 +1.6% | 20 |
| 645d | Newshound | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$49 +4.4% | 20 |
| 645d |  itsfine | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellNo5¢ → 0¢ | $1,549 | +$1,549 +100% | — |
| 646d | joe.night20242 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,416 | −$268 −6.1% | — |
| 646d | SeniorLaghetto | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$159 +12% | 20 |
| 646d | joe.night20242 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,393 | +$291 +6.6% | 20 |
| 646d | Saltyballs17 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $37,223 | +$3,947 +11% | 20 |
| 646d |  Wickier3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $7,338 | +$3,559 +49% | 20 |
| 646d | Gigimillion | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,997 | −$1,997 −100% | 25 |
| 646d | Ronaldo21002 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,181 | −$677 −11% | — |
| 646d | MisTKy33 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $9,392 | +$817 +8.7% | 20 |
| 646d | 0x06d00e6307b288427c8e32e146b602e1a58a254f | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 646d |  agsgsggsfudhhwueh | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $11,507 | −$1,255 −11% | — |
| 646d | YasH | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,614 | −$178 −6.8% | — |
| 646d | agsgsggsfudhhwueh | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $12,396 | +$366 +3.0% | 20 |
| 646d | upp | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,847 | −$47 −2.6% | — |
| 646d | KimJonEn3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,044 | +$242 +1.9% | 20 |
| 646d | surf | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,413 | −$1,413 −100% | 23 |
| 646d | Liquidifier2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,272 | −$160 −4.9% | — |
| 646d | JoseB144 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$31 −3.0% | — |
Tunec2 shares
Alex25538511,752 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 25 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.