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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$15 +268% |
| Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +335% |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26? | BuyNo73¢ | $15 |
| 184d | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26? | BuyYes27¢ | $5 |
| 185d | Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | BuyYes23¢ | $1 |
| 187d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 187d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $15 |
| 187d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $1 |
| 187d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $22 |
| 187d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $19 |
| 187d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $19 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.