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Polymarket wallet 0xdaa476a1dafd04c7667f574dc083fa60279204f2 · on Polymarket since Oct 13, 2025 · also shown as Self-Assured-Cranky
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 276 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 929 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 182 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 535 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 365d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | BuyYes28¢ | $20 |
| 368d | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BuyNo11¢ | $20 |
| 368d | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 368d | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BuyYes7¢ | $20 |
| 369d | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15 | SellDown60¢ | $34 |
| 369d | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15 | BuyDown35¢ | $20 |
| 370d | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? | BuyNo41¢ | $20 |
| 371d | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BuyNo30¢ | $20 |
| 371d | Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31? | BuyYes32¢ | $20 |
| 371d | 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | BuyYes13¢ | $20 |
| 371d | Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.