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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 6% | — | −2 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26d |  MisTKy | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 94¢ | $1,990 | +$112 +5.6% | 20 |
| 136d | denizz | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | +$151 +5.9% | 20 |
| 175d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | +$745 +34% | 20 |
| 205d | Sticky-Closing | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,513 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | KathyLawson7301 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$152 +14% | 20 |
| 267d | beere | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,547 | −$849 −33% | — |
| 269d | feichuan | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,097 | +$592 +28% | 20 |
| 269d | puluom | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,681 | +$756 +28% | 20 |
| 269d | sodas | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,442 | +$689 +28% | 20 |
| 269d | beere | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,648 | +$748 +28% | 20 |
| 289d |  Car | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,712 | +$288 +17% | 20 |
| 299d |  tup2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | +$21 +0.8% | 20 |
| 304d |  twe2nty | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,884 | +$65 +1.1% | 20 |
| 305d | gouyibacao | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | −$398 −19% | — |
| 305d | jidan-568 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,073 | −$395 −19% | — |
| 305d | yuxiangqiezi | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,542 | +$484 +19% | 20 |
| 305d | gouyibacao | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | +$398 +19% | 20 |
| 305d | dayouzi | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,337 | +$445 +19% | 20 |
| 305d | hongshaorou | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,878 | +$548 +19% | 20 |
| 305d | jidan-568 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,073 | +$395 +19% | 20 |
| 308d |  Tenebrus7 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$27 −1.8% | — |
| 308d | denizz3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $18,672 | −$769 −4.1% | — |
| 311d | acrx999 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$45 −3.1% | — |
| 312d |  emcor9 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $21,242 | −$1,692 −8.0% | — |
| 314d | denizz4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $10,372 | +$2,664 +26% | 20 |
| 315d | lordedward | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$57 +3.1% | 20 |
| 324d | Nebula-Croissant3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,974 | −$770 −13% | — |
| 324d |  CaptainCoinflip2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,337 | −$576 −9.1% | — |
| 327d | CaptainCoinflip2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | +$555 +16% | 20 |
| 327d | emcor6 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $19,739 | +$4,466 +23% | 20 |
| 330d | CaptainCoinflip2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,744 | −$145 −3.9% | — |
| 330d |  TeemuPukki | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,483 | +$18 +0.7% | 20 |
| 331d |  ScottyNooo | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$334 +14% | 20 |
| 331d | ScottyNooo4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,850 | +$451 +6.6% | 20 |
| 331d | CaptainCoinflip | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$33 +1.5% | 20 |
| 331d | lordedward | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$21 +1.9% | 20 |
| 332d | lojau5dulbchi | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | +$79 +3.2% | 20 |
| 332d | blplpbh3wrww0 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,447 | +$78 +3.2% | 20 |
| 332d | gludtxapt5teq1 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,452 | +$78 +3.2% | 20 |
| 332d | uujbtz1drhj60 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,460 | +$79 +3.2% | 20 |
| 332d | cvgjt09vxfl4q | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$78 +3.2% | 20 |
| 332d | fqwgqbqgnvl2z | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | +$78 +3.2% | 20 |
| 333d | TeemuPukki2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,768 | −$454 −3.6% | — |
| 333d |  Trading4Fridge | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,060 | −$62 −3.0% | — |
| 335d | tajir | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 20 |
| 335d | denizz | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | +$214 +9.8% | 20 |
| 335d | SignalX1 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | −$335 −25% | — |
| 335d | SignalX1 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | +$318 +17% | 20 |
| 339d | TeemuPukki3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,126 | −$810 −13% | — |
| 341d |  Oompa-Loompa | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | −$310 −19% | — |
| 342d |  MisTKy32 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,224 | −$126 −3.9% | — |
| 342d | MisTKy3 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | −$550 −12% | — |
| 344d |  GoriIIa | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$158 +11% | 20 |
| 347d | wangee | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | −$1,650 −33% | — |
| 347d | nongc | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,680 | −$1,820 −39% | — |
| 348d | nongc | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,485 | +$2,015 +45% | 20 |
| 348d | wangee | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,554 | +$2,046 +45% | 20 |
| 349d | Nebula-Croissant | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | −$81 −6.4% | — |
| 349d |  MEPP | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$650 +15% | 20 |
| 350d | emcor | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,573 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
Haradwaith387 shares
autisem187 shares
Dr.PNL183 sharesOn October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 6%.
