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Polymarket wallet 0xdb6123e10861668808cf04ee77ebb51c3c569488 · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2025 · also shown as Firsthand-Begonia
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,196 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$598 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $7 |
| 160d | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BuyNo90¢ | $5 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $598 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $301 |
| 264d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $151 |
| 265d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $76 |
| 282d | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $35 |
| 364d | Spread: Alabama (-11.5) | BuySouth Carolina52¢ | $4,990 |
| 365d | Spread: Magic (-4.5) | BuyHawks48¢ | $366 |
| 365d | Spread: Magic (-4.5) | BuyHawks48¢ | $1,944 |
| 366d | Will Celtic FC win on 2025-10-23? | BuyYes66¢ | $1,664 |
| 366d | Spread: Warriors (-1.5) | BuyNuggets49¢ | $791 |
| 366d | Penguins vs. Panthers | BuyPanthers64¢ | $1,273 |
| 367d | AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver58¢ | $554 |
| 367d | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 | BuyOver51¢ | $606 |
| 367d | Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22? | BuyYes75¢ | $62 |
| 367d | Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 | BuyOver48¢ | $552 |
| 367d | 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder51¢ | $418 |
| 367d | Nets vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5 | BuyOver47¢ | $620 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.