| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 47 | 67¢ → 87¢ | $41 | +$9 +29% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | No | 143 | 31¢ → 25¢ | $35 | −$10 −22% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 101d | No | 70 | 49¢ → 38¢ | $26 | −$8 −23% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 101d | No | 33 | 77¢ → 66¢ | $22 | −$4 −15% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | Yes | 68 | 40¢ → 22¢ | $15 | −$13 −47% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 62 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $8 | −$1 −8.2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 59 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 238 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 86 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 94 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 39 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 56 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 44 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 67 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 65 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 58 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 119 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 39 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 37 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 45 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 41 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 321 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 170 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 94 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 85 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 96 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 63 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 42 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 91 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 83 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 210 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 73 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 51 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 16 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 81 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 102 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 157 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 38 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 179 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 81 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 21 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 88 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 31 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 119 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 21 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 41 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 41 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 63 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 81 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 41 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 36 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 26 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 39 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 340 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$167 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 81 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 118 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 81 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 83 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 57 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 153 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 57 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 116 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 102 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 71 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 88 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 231 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 53 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
