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Polymarket wallet 0xdbf48ccfe46c9019f9d4aa553546d7af4554aa39 · on Polymarket since Sep 3, 2024 · also shown as Light-Hint
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$2 +35% |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +67% |
| Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +92% |
| Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 770d | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes90¢ | $1 |
| 770d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes69¢ | $2 |
| 771d | Will there be another debate? | SellYes26¢ | $1 |
| 772d | Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | BuyYes52¢ | $1 |
| 772d | Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes84¢ | $2 |
| 772d | Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election? | BuyYes60¢ | $2 |
| 772d | Will there be another debate? | BuyYes56¢ | $2 |
| 778d | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | BuyNo74¢ | $5 |
| 778d | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | SellYes26¢ | $4 |
| 780d | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | BuyYes59¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.