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Polymarket wallet 0xdc6f5b8df3f63a97ba83d49df87dd62a02b3d485 · on Polymarket since Aug 1, 2025 · also shown as Ill-Fated-Prow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 218 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 435 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Russia announces air truce by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Kash Patel out by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 38 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 769 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 435d | Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? | BuyYes17¢ | $50 |
| 435d | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyYes34¢ | $100 |
| 442d | More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $50 |
| 442d | Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 442d | Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? | BuyNo26¢ | $10 |
| 442d | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 442d | Kash Patel out by August 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $50 |
| 442d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BuyYes13¢ | $100 |
| 442d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes23¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.