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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d |  classified | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,079 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 298d | dwFqcd4Z | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,008 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 330d | f2hf84hg52h5 | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,710 | +$57 +1.5% | 4 |
| 351d |  Tanjirooo | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | −$43 −3.0% | — |
| 352d | singularityman | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | −$34 −3.0% | — |
| 367d |  GollumGekko | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$45 +3.5% | 4 |
| 375d | dwFqcd4Z | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,924 | +$127 +3.2% | 4 |
| 380d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | −$115 −4.0% | — |
| 387d | ChampaLiberation5 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $11,567 | +$1,418 +12% | 4 |
| 417d | Tanjirooo | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$115 +11% | 4 |
| 427d | Firewall360 | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | +$1,111 +100% | — |
| 431d |  FATMAN2 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | −$495 −20% | — |
| 431d |  Tenebrus7 | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,039 | −$332 −16% | — |
| 441d | 111222 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$390 +16% | 4 |
| 443d | Firewall360 | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | valueorbubble | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,440 | +$560 +16% | 4 |
| 446d | singularityman | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$163 +16% | 4 |
| 448d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA4 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $20,741 | +$3,761 +18% | 4 |
| 449d |  shmoyobro | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$264 +21% | 4 |
| 470d | keribit | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | −$320 −19% | — |
| 473d |  WashTrade3 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,687 | +$1,182 +18% | 4 |
| 477d | jsjr | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,250 | +$2,250 +100% | — |
| 482d |  TheFund | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$209 −19% | — |
| 486d | denizz6 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $42,471 | −$7,601 −18% | — |
| 487d | Swerdlowzac | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | −$453 −18% | — |
| 488d | Swerdlowzac | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$423 +16% | 4 |
| 489d |  peasant | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $4,760 | +$4,760 +100% | — |
| 489d | Gambler2026 | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,827 | −$460 −16% | — |
| 495d | 0x7853…36d82 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,005 | −$707 −18% | — |
| 499d | BowlOfPunch | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$200 +16% | 4 |
| 499d |  HNIC | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$257 −18% | — |
| 508d | mooseytunes0 | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$202 −18% | — |
| 512d | 0xTrinity2 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $7,786 | −$1,414 −18% | — |
| 512d | WashTrade3 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,215 | −$1,224 −20% | — |
| 513d | TheFund | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$290 +16% | 4 |
| 514d |  SteamRollerPennies2 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | +$552 +18% | 4 |
| 519d | 0xTrinity | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$834 +16% | 4 |
| 520d | Gdub | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$209 +18% | 4 |
| 524d |  Car2 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,149 | +$851 +17% | 4 |
| 524d | denizz5 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $19,722 | +$3,413 +17% | 4 |
| 526d |  MEPP | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,092 | −$399 −19% | — |
| 533d | peasant3 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $4,662 | −$4,662 −100% | 14 |
| 551d | mooseytunes0 | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$202 +18% | 4 |
| 558d |  Blunderton5 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $7,246 | −$1,456 −20% | — |
| 562d | --MB-- | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$205 +20% | 4 |
| 562d | cashy | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | −$425 −20% | — |
| 577d | Blunderton | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,200 | +$800 +19% | 4 |
| 583d | Yoss19892 fills | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,543 | +$375 +15% | 4 |
POSITRON1,426 shares
pedrogleta2 shares
nataliebaker2 sharesOn February 4, Donald Trump floated a plan for the reconstruction of Gaza including the relocation of Gaza’s population (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-netanyahu-set-pivotal-talks-middle-east-agenda-2025-02-04/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least 500,000 Gazans leave the Gaza strip between February 6, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes the transfer of Gazans to Israel, the West Bank or other countries, as well as the departure of Gazans from the Gaza Strip through visa or refugee programs. This market refers to the total number of Gazans who leave, regardless of method. Announcements of relocation plans will not count, only actual relocation will qualify. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.