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Polymarket wallet 0xdef398b84a212336f9a5a3b32980433433c146eb · on Polymarket since Jul 23, 2025 · also shown as Hopeful-Insomnia
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.