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Polymarket wallet 0xdfab4d93141101bbe3029cc713fd8767976b72cb · on Polymarket since Nov 8, 2025 · also shown as Impractical-Scarecrow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 92¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$5 −90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 327d | Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ | $3 |
| 327d | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyYes92¢ | $5 |
| 331d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11AM ET | BuyUp98¢ | $8 |
| 331d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp76¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BuyYes96¢ | $3 |
| 348d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11PM ET | SellUp90¢ | $1 |
| 348d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11PM ET | BuyUp92¢ | $1 |
| 348d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10PM ET | SellUp41¢ | $1 |
| 348d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10PM ET | BuyUp68¢ | $1 |
| 348d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BuyUp54¢ | $1 |
| 348d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BuyDown58¢ | $1 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp94¢ | $1 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4AM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $8 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4AM ET | BuyDown78¢ | $1 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BuyUp76¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.