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Polymarket wallet 0xe09c549b784521979f5c8c97a04d74467fd2ad5b · on Polymarket since Mar 7, 2026 · also shown as Frail-Director
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 929 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,357 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,580 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $10 |
| 198d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyDown2¢ | $10 |
| 198d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyDown5¢ | $10 |
| 198d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 228d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyYes8¢ | $9 |
| 228d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | BuyYes<1¢ | $80 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.