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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 161 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 242d | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyYes1¢ | $6 |
| 249d | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BuyYes1¢ | $3 |
| 249d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes7¢ | $11 |
| 249d | Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | BuyYes<1¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.