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Polymarket wallet 0xe10a104e828355a122a2ddc0d6eaafb2596209ba · on Polymarket since Jul 30, 2025 · also shown as Nifty-Warning
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia win Intervision 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 87 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 302d | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BuyDown70¢ | $60 |
| 305d | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | BuyYes78¢ | $47 |
| 309d | Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | BuyYes67¢ | $32 |
| 312d | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | BuyYes84¢ | $27 |
| 410d | U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025? | BuyYes71¢ | $30 |
| 421d | Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections? | BuyYes70¢ | $18 |
| 425d | Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BuyYes45¢ | $14 |
| 430d | Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 22? | BuyYes55¢ | $8 |
| 446d | U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025? | BuyYes59¢ | $6 |
| 449d | Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes69¢ | $5 |
| 449d | Will Russia win Intervision 2025? | BuyYes42¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.